T\u00fcrkiye Bilimler Akademisi (T\u00dcBA) \u00c7evre, Biyo\u00e7e\u015fitlilik ve \u0130klim De\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi \u00c7al\u0131\u015fma Grubu \u00dcyesi Prof. Dr. Do\u011fan Ya\u015far, “2026 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk 6 ay\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye genelinde ya\u011f\u0131\u015f rekoru k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. 2027 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise Mega El Nino kaynakl\u0131 ya\u011f\u0131\u015flar\u0131n etkili olmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. Mega El Nino’yu tan\u0131k oldu\u011fumuz kadar\u0131yla en son 1877’li y\u0131llarda g\u00f6rd\u00fck” dedi.
\nT\u00dcBA \u00c7evre, Biyo\u00e7e\u015fitlilik ve \u0130klim De\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi \u00c7al\u0131\u015fma Grubu \u00dcyesi Prof. Dr. Do\u011fan Ya\u015far, 2026 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk alt\u0131 ay\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye genelinde ya\u011f\u0131\u015f rekoru k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek, 2027 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise Mega El Nino kaynakl\u0131 ya\u011f\u0131\u015flar\u0131n etkili olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. El Nino’nun okyanus suyunun \u0131s\u0131nmas\u0131 olay\u0131 oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yleyen Prof. Dr. Ya\u015far, “Is\u0131nma miktar\u0131 1 derece civar\u0131ndaysa buna ‘normal El Nino’ diyoruz. Is\u0131nma zaten buharla\u015fma, buharla\u015fma da ya\u011fmur demektir. E\u011fer bu s\u0131cakl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131 1 ila 2 derece aras\u0131nda olursa buna ‘S\u00fcper El Nino’, 2 derecenin \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131karsa ‘Mega El Nino’ diyoruz. Mega El Nino’yu tan\u0131k oldu\u011fumuz kadar\u0131yla en son 1877’li y\u0131llarda g\u00f6rd\u00fck. O zamanlar meteoroloji istasyonlar\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in etkisinin nereye ve nas\u0131l vurdu\u011funu net olarak bilemesek de \u00c7in ve Hindistan’\u0131n kurak ge\u00e7ti\u011fini biliyoruz. D\u00fcnyada 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda bir S\u00fcper El Nino ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Avrupa ve T\u00fcrkiye \u00e7ok g\u00fczel ya\u011f\u0131\u015flar ald\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye’de ortalama s\u0131cakl\u0131klar 1-2 derece \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Son y\u0131llar\u0131n en s\u0131cak d\u00f6nemini ya\u015fad\u0131k ve ya\u011f\u0131\u015flar da ortalamadan y\u00fczde 12 daha fazla d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Y\u00fczde 12 ciddi bir orand\u0131r. Bu durum S\u00fcper El Nino’nun etkisiydi” diye konu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n
“Ekim ay\u0131n\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131ndan sonra \u00e7ok g\u00fczel ya\u011f\u0131\u015flar bekleniyor”
\nK\u0131\u015f aylar\u0131n\u0131n \u0131l\u0131k ge\u00e7ece\u011fini tahmin etti\u011fini belirten Prof. Dr. Ya\u015far, “Bu s\u0131rada m\u00fcthi\u015f ya\u011f\u0131\u015flar alaca\u011f\u0131z. Ekim ay\u0131n\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131ndan sonra ger\u00e7ekten \u00e7ok g\u00fczel ya\u011f\u0131\u015flar bekleniyor. D\u00fcnya Meteoroloji \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc de ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz nisan ay\u0131ndan beri Mega El Nino konusunda uyar\u0131larda bulunuyor. \u0130htimaller \u00f6nceleri y\u00fczde 40 seviyelerindeyken \u015fu anda y\u00fczde 90’lara \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015f durumda. Etkisinin d\u00fcnyan\u0131n neresini nas\u0131l vuraca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz ancak Avrupa ve T\u00fcrkiye ad\u0131na konu\u015facak olursam, \u00e7ok g\u00fczel ya\u011f\u0131\u015flar alaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131za ve harika bir d\u00f6nem ya\u015fayaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131za inan\u0131yorum” ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n
“2035’lere kadar su sorunu ya\u015famay\u0131z”
\nYa\u011f\u0131\u015flar\u0131n \u0130zmir’deki barajlar \u00fczerindeki etkisini de de\u011ferlendiren Prof. Dr. Ya\u015far, \u015funlar\u0131 kaydetti:
\n“T\u00fcrkiye genelinde 2035’lere kadar su sorunu ya\u015famay\u0131z. \u00d6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki 10 y\u0131l\u0131n en az 7-8 y\u0131l\u0131 ya\u011f\u0131\u015flar ortalamada ya da ortalamalar\u0131n \u00fczerinde seyredecektir. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla su s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131 \u00e7ekmeyece\u011fiz. Gelecek olan Mega El Nino \u00f6ncesinde, ana baraj\u0131m\u0131z olan Tahtal\u0131 Baraj\u0131 \u015fu anda y\u00fczde 46 civar\u0131nda dolu. Tahtal\u0131’dan y\u00fczde 50 daha b\u00fcy\u00fck olan G\u00f6rdes Baraj\u0131 ise y\u00fczde 30’lar seviyesinde. Bunlar ciddi rakamlard\u0131r. Ger\u00e7ekten \u00e7ok g\u00fczel su birikti. Bu y\u0131l bu oranlar daha da artacak. Belki y\u00fczde 70-80 seviyelerine \u00e7\u0131kacakt\u0131r.”<\/p>\n
“Kurakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 geride b\u0131rakt\u0131k”
\nKurakl\u0131\u011f\u0131n geride b\u0131rak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 aktaran Prof. Dr. Do\u011fan Ya\u015far, “2025’te de art\u0131k kurak d\u00f6nemin bitti\u011fini ve 2026’n\u0131n bol ya\u011f\u0131\u015fl\u0131 ge\u00e7ece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemi\u015ftik ve \u00f6yle de ge\u00e7iyor. Bunlar rastgele do\u011fa olaylar\u0131 de\u011fildir, aksine olduk\u00e7a d\u00fczenli do\u011fa olaylar\u0131d\u0131r. Sert ve kurak d\u00f6nemleri mutlaka \u00e7ok g\u00fczel ya\u011f\u0131\u015fl\u0131 d\u00f6nemler takip eder. Bu bir sistemdir ve do\u011fan\u0131n kendi i\u00e7indeki dengesidir; ortada bir rastgelelik yoktur” diye vurgulad\u0131.
\nEn b\u00fcy\u00fck sorunun suyun kullan\u0131lma bi\u00e7imi oldu\u011funa dikkat \u00e7eken Prof. Dr Ya\u015far, s\u00f6zlerini \u015f\u00f6yle s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc:
\n“Ne olursa olsun suyumuzu \u00e7ok dikkatli kullanmam\u0131z gerekiyor. Barajlar\u0131m\u0131z y\u00fczde 100 dolu olsa bile her bir litresini kullan\u0131rken \u00e7ok hassas olmal\u0131y\u0131z. \u00c7\u00fcnk\u00fc su varsa devlet vard\u0131r; suyun bitti\u011fi g\u00fcn devlet de biter.”
\n\u00c7ok fazla ya\u011f\u0131\u015f d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde, \u0130zmir’in ve T\u00fcrkiye’deki \u015fehirlerin altyap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok iyi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in altyap\u0131 kaynakl\u0131 ciddi s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar ya\u015fanabilece\u011fine vurgu yapan Prof. Dr. Ya\u015far, “\u0130zmir’in T\u00fcrkiye’deki ba\u015fka hi\u00e7bir kentte olmayan bir \u00f6zelli\u011fi var. \u0130zmir \u00e7\u00f6ken bir kenttir. Basmane, Alsancak, Kar\u015f\u0131yaka ve Bostanl\u0131 gibi alanlar eskiden deniz olan, sonradan insan eliyle doldurulmu\u015f yerlerdir. \u015eu anda Alsancak ve civar\u0131 y\u0131lda yakla\u015f\u0131k 2 santim \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fcyor. Bu \u00e7ok ciddi bir rakamd\u0131r. Kent \u00e7\u00f6kt\u00fck\u00e7e borular da \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fcyor ve deniz suyu karan\u0131n i\u00e7ine do\u011fru basmaya ba\u015fl\u0131yor. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz y\u0131l bunu ya\u015fad\u0131k. Alsancak ve K\u0131br\u0131s \u015eehitleri Caddesi bir anda su alt\u0131nda kald\u0131. B\u00fct\u00fcn \u0130zmir’in topo\u011frafya haritas\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmal\u0131d\u0131r. Nerenin ne kadar \u00e7\u00f6kt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ve ne yap\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi tespit edilmelidir. Her y\u0131l 2 santim \u00e7\u00f6kt\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz i\u00e7in daha da ileri gidecektir” s\u00f6zlerini aktard\u0131.<\/p>\n
18.09.2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
T\u00fcrkiye Bilimler Akademisi (T\u00dcBA) \u00c7evre, Biyo\u00e7e\u015fitlilik ve \u0130klim De\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi \u00c7al\u0131\u015fma Grubu \u00dcyesi Prof. Dr. Do\u011fan Ya\u015far, “2026 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk 6 ay\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye genelinde ya\u011f\u0131\u015f rekoru k\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. 2027 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise Mega El Nino kaynakl\u0131 ya\u011f\u0131\u015flar\u0131n etkili olmas\u0131n\u0131 bekliyor. Mega El Nino’yu tan\u0131k oldu\u011fumuz kadar\u0131yla en son 1877’li y\u0131llarda g\u00f6rd\u00fck” dedi. T\u00dcBA \u00c7evre, Biyo\u00e7e\u015fitlilik ve \u0130klim De\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":23188,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[50],"tags":[7365,7363,7362,7364],"class_list":["post-23187","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tum-haberler","tag-bekleniyor","tag-mega-el-nino-uyarisi","tag-prof-dr-yasardan","tag-siddetli-yagislar"],"yoast_head":"\n